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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: July 11th, 2023

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  • It may be pedantic, but I distinguish between the tech development, and the crazy investment/speculation happening. The latter is a bubble, not because the tech is completely useless (it’s not!), but because there’s no business model where nearly a Trillion dollars of investments are going to pay off on something that is a convenient digital assistant and write mediocre code. When people start to realize that AGI isn’t coming to any of these companies, they will start pulling money, and at this point, that bubble bursting could wipe out a large fraction of the economy. It’s going to be messy.




  • The dot-com bubble didn’t build the internet. The internet still would have been built up if pension funds were not buying toiletpaper.com for millions of dollars. Bubbles, pretty much by definition, are specifically about the part of the economy where huge sums are invested into things that are not worth anything (i.e., full of air).

    LLMs would still be developed without a trillion-dollar bubble. Slower, sure, but all the crazy investment isn’t about developing tech, it’s about speculating on who will stumble on AGI and suddenly be able to run companies with 1% of the workforce of traditional companies. It’s gambling. When the gamblers figure out that a casino doesn’t pay out, they all leave at once.


  • Absolutely not. AI tech will continue to be pushed by C-suites convinced they can surplus a fraction of their workforce eventually. The change will be that most of the investments in AI companies will disappear overnight and most will go belly-up. It will erase a significant fraction of everyone’s pension funds, and federal governments around the world will pour public funds into propping up the larger companies so that they don’t go under too. Heads they win, tails you lose.



  • Precisely. I’d be more likely to switch to one of those pocket “hot spot” devices. Just a thing in my pocket that gives devices I control internet access and maybe has a shitty web interface I can log into for basic SMS when absolutely necessary. No microphone, no camera, no GPS, no access to my actual computing environment. Only 2 downsides are maintaining battery charge in multiple devices and the fact that those hotspots are generally hot garbage, and so unreliable.

    Maybe, a flip phone if one existed that was 1) a full-time good quality internet hotspot (i.e., good battery), and 2) lacked a GPS and camera, and hardware disconnected the microphone when closed. Now that I think about it, that would be a fantastic device… if it existed.


  • They have a whole list of these in the linked Readme. Thanks for posting - I was considering setting up pinchflat but this might be a lot lighter on resources.

    My use case: I would like to run something like this, but either directly on, or syncing to my laptop. I don’t watch much YouTube, but it would be nice to have stuff to watch offline, and cut google out of all the behavioural metadata.