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Cake day: June 17th, 2023

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  • It’s hard to say. He’s definitely closer to it than any president since JFK. But security is way better these days. And before the FBI comes knocking on my door, this is just an objective analysis.

    We’ve already had a shooter with a near miss. So clearly there’s the will to do this among some segment of the population. Probably a conservative who feels betrayed or person who is truly far left, (not just a progressive).

    However, security during the campaign and for JFK was a lot less than it is now. It’s going to be a lot harder to get close enough with a rifle. If you think of a plan the USSS has already thought about it and probably has a counter of some sort.

    So while he’s definitely the closest, I don’t think we’ll see another president assassinated unless they do something truly stupid like gut the USSS.



  • Greenland is hard. They’d likely do it. It’s a legal order under the War Powers Act. They would probably do it in a completely different way than going full explodey like they did with Iraq, but it would happen.

    Now they could drag their feet, super telegraphing their moves, effectively giving Congress time to use the WPA to shut it down. But it’s not guaranteed by any means.

    Canada would see mass desertions though. And Mexico or Panama are actually the most likely targets. The military would invade those places without a second thought.