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Cake day: January 7th, 2024

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  • Less and less. But it’s not insignificant, especially amongst older voters.

    There’s a reason the IRA used to have a lot of resources during the troubles, even when disowned by both sides, and resources were flowing from America.

    There are a lot of Irish passport holders in America and even more who descended from the Irish.

    They were treated as “not white” for a long time too so as a community they are generally more aware of their identity than white Americans of other heritage.

    It used to be that either the pope or Irish government could simply dictate to a large voting block. That’s not the case now but there’s still plenty who will “vote for Ireland” at US elections.



  • You can’t stop a genocide with reason, to commit a genocide you have to dehumanise people, you’re beyond reason.

    The only response to genocide is materially affecting the perpetrators. The time for diplomacy stops at atrocities.

    Don’t talk to Likud’s supporters about anything. Defund and boycott the country until Likud is not in power.

    That requires speaking to the international community and especially American voters to see what effect they can have on the current president.



  • People will say it’s not the same as the other Boeing incidents.

    They’re right, it’s not.

    Unfortunately this is a new normal.

    The Federal Aviation Authority has succumbed to regulatory capture. The FAA is no longer capable of protecting American’s from poor design and build quality by American manufacturers, or from poor maintenance by American airlines

    The best way to stay safe is to do 2 things:

    1. Choose to fly on Aircraft designed and built in Europe recently, or perhaps America before 2007.

    The FAA had massive budget cuts after the financial the crisis and even though they were meant to be temporary putting the budget back has been a political football ever since. American Aircraft designed and built since those budget cuts are the problem.

    1. Choose an airline that has routes in Europe and not just domestically. That means maintenance is likely to have to comply with a better funded regulatory body in addition to the FAA.

    Do one and 2 and you’ll almost certainly be safe. Aircraft design and build will be as safe as we’d come to expect, so will the maintenance.

    I’d prioritise 1 if you can’t do both. Even though it seems bad, a well designed aircraft losing a piece like this mid flight isn’t going to bring it down. Even if it’s not good enough to catch things like this I’d expect maintenance by domestic American Airlines to still avoid a crash, even without FAA oversight being effective. If a piece falls off, redundancy or simply the fact it’s not critical to flight means the pilot will be able to simply divert and land. Delays, not deaths.

    The problem Boeing has brought in is we’re now flying modern aircraft without redundancy in key systems and structures. The FAA has allowed it. It’s the thing that’s most likely to cause fatal accidents.