Oh man I definitely agree here. I’m a huge fan of that “better than a human” threshold. Roads are already very dangerous. One of the wildest things I’ve noticed is highway driving at night in very rainy conditions, sometimes visibility will be near zero. Yet a lot of drivers are zooming around pretending they can see. I feel like I’m in the twilight zone when it happens.
I remember telling people it’s possible and having a whole bunch of online folk tell me how Stephen Wang from Princeton said there was a 98% chance that Democrats would win.
Nate Silver went from being congratulated for his predictions to getting criticized for mentioning that there were correlated errors which could easily result in a Republican president. It was interesting because Silver wasn’t even predicting a Republican victory just a 40% chance it could happen.